Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.058991 0.068987 0.080126 0.093456 0.108973 0.126465 0.147682
2025-09-21 0.041994 0.054571 0.070087 0.090621 0.117077 0.150021 0.194178
2025-09-28 0.032079 0.045194 0.062679 0.087667 0.122452 0.169165 0.236711
2025-10-05 0.027075 0.040758 0.060199 0.089787 0.133662 0.196328 0.292713
2025-10-12 0.023076 0.036792 0.057384 0.090476 0.142296 0.220347 0.346954
2025-10-19 0.019932 0.033455 0.054780 0.090757 0.149903 0.243299 0.402137
2025-10-26 0.017666 0.031073 0.053184 0.092172 0.159164 0.269586 0.465614
2025-11-02 0.016061 0.029498 0.052594 0.095015 0.170932 0.301103 0.541490
2025-11-09 0.013788 0.026382 0.048892 0.091864 0.171782 0.314011 0.586626
2025-11-16 0.012291 0.024440 0.046967 0.091553 0.177515 0.335926 0.650311
2025-11-23 0.010945 0.022575 0.044906 0.090649 0.181908 0.355733 0.712281
2025-11-30 0.010091 0.021547 0.044283 0.092394 0.191531 0.386343 0.798581
2025-12-07 0.009024 0.019954 0.042377 0.091402 0.195753 0.407333 0.869256
2025-12-14 0.007969 0.018232 0.039983 0.089080 0.196950 0.422446 0.929972
2025-12-21 0.007014 0.016586 0.037521 0.086258 0.196668 0.434381 0.985367
2025-12-28 0.006563 0.016015 0.037310 0.088360 0.207413 0.470988 1.099139
2026-01-04 0.006056 0.015236 0.036527 0.089041 0.215006 0.501543 1.203092
2026-01-11 0.005577 0.014453 0.035628 0.089319 0.221675 0.530761 1.307563
2026-01-18 0.005215 0.013908 0.035217 0.090711 0.231171 0.567590 1.434672
2026-01-25 0.004963 0.013609 0.035367 0.093510 0.244466 0.614965 1.593370
2026-02-01 0.004429 0.012488 0.033309 0.090408 0.242484 0.624969 1.659896
2026-02-08 0.004087 0.011835 0.032370 0.090102 0.247683 0.653436 1.777271
2026-02-15 0.003752 0.011155 0.031269 0.089212 0.251213 0.678048 1.887604